A report in today's Globe details the thinking and cites Senate minority leader Brian P. Lees (Republican) and another unnamed senator.
Key dynamics are:
- The votes are not quite there for a majority second vote to put this amendment on the ballot in 2006.
- Three same-sex-marriage opponents in the legislature quit last year and will be replaced in special elections in a few months.
- Eight conservative Republican opponents have voted against the amendment because they also oppose civil unions.
- Opponent lobbyists will try to pressure them to vote for the lesser evil, the amendment.
- Same-sex supporters will lobby to keep support, gain new allies, and win in the special elections.
A new voter poll by UMASS/Lowell shows that a scant majority, 53%, want the amendment on the ballot. That also eases pressure on legislators to act against same-sex marriage. The vote last year was 105 to 92 for putting the amendment on the ballot. Pro and con forces both claim to be underdogs and tell their supporters in and out of the legislature to work non-stop until the vote.